Objective: The aim of the study was to measure the use and estimate the cos
t of HIV service provision in England.
Design and Setting: Standardised activity and case-severity data were colle
cted prospectively in 10 English HIV clinics (5 London and 5 non-London sit
es) for the periods 1 January 1996 to 30 June 1996 and 1 July 1996 to 31 De
cember 1996 and linked to unit cost data. In total, 5440 patients with HIV
infection attended during the first 6 months and 5708 during the second 6 m
onths in 1996.
Main Outcome Measures and Results: The mean number of inpatient days per pa
tient-year for patients with AIDS was 19.7 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1
3.7 to 25.7] for January to June and 20.8 (95% CI: 15.3 to 26.4) for July t
o December 1996. The mean number of outpatient visits for asymptomatic pati
ents with HIV infection was 14.8 (95% CI: 11.9 to 17.6) and 133 (95% CI: 10
.8 to 15.7) for the respective periods and 16.1 (95% CI: 13.21 to 18.97) an
d 15.7 (95% CI: 11.2 to 20.2), respectively, for patients with symptomatic
non-AIDS (i.e. symptomatic patients with HIV infection but without AIDS-def
ining conditions). Substantial centre-to-centre variation was observed, sug
gesting that many clinics can continue the shift from an inpatient- to an o
utpatient-based service. Cost estimates per patient-year for HIV service pr
ovision for 1996 varied from pound 4695 (95% CI: pound 3769 to pound 5648)
for asymptomatic patients, to pound 7605 (95% CI: pound 6273 to pound 8909)
for symptomatic non-AIDS patients to pound 20 358 (95% CI: pound 17 681 to
pound 23 206) for patients with AIDS.
Conclusions: Different combinations of antiretroviral therapy affect the co
st estimates of HIV service provision differently. Anticipated reduction in
inpatient-related activity through the increased use of combination antire
troviral therapy will further shift service provision from an inpatient- to
outpatient-based service and reduce costs per patient-year. The extent and
duration of such effects are currently unknown. The long term effects of c
ombination treatment on the morbidity and mortality patterns of individuals
infected with HIV are also currently unknown, as are their implications on
the use and cost of HIV service provision. Multicentre databases like the
National Prospective Monitoring System (NPMS) will provide healthcare profe
ssionals with information to improve existing services and anticipate the i
mpact of new developments.